среда, 25 декабря 2024
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USD/KZT: 425.67 EUR/KZT: 496.42 RUR/KZT: 5.81
Подведены итоги рекламно-медийной конференции AdTribune-2022 Қаңтар оқиғасында қаза тапқан 4 жасар қызға арналған мурал пайда болды В Казахстане планируется ввести принудительный труд в качестве наказания за административные правонарушения Референдум - проверка общества на гражданскую зрелость - Токаев Екінші Республиканың негізін қалаймыз – Тоқаев Генпрокуратура обратилась к казахстанцам в преддверие референдума Бәрпібаевтың жеке ұшағына қатысты тексеріс басталды Маңғыстауда әкім орынбасары екінші рет қызметінен шеттетілді Тенге остается во власти эмоций Ресей өкілі Ердоғанның әскери операциясына қарсы екенін айтты Обновление парка сельхозтехники обсудили фермеры и машиностроители Казахстана Цены на сахар за год выросли на 61% Научно-производственный комплекс «Фитохимия» вернут в госсобственность Сколько налогов уплачено в бюджет с начала года? Новым гендиректором «Казахавтодора» стал экс-председатель комитета транспорта МИИР РК Американский генерал заявил об угрозе для США со стороны России Меркель впервые публично осудила Россию и поддержала Украину Байден призвал ужесточить контроль за оборотом оружия в США Супругу Мамая задержали после вывешивания баннера в поддержку политика в Алматы Казахстан и Южная Корея обсудили стратегическое партнерство Персональный охранник за 850 тыс тенге: Депутат прокомментировал скандальное объявление Россия и ОПЕК решили увеличить план добычи нефти Рау: Алдағы референдум – саяси ерік-жігердің айрықша белгісі Нью-Делиде Абай мүсіні орнатылды «Свобода 55»: иммерсивный аудиоспектакль про выбор, свободу и январские события

Pleasant,but expensive

We asked Petr Svoik, the well-known economist whose economical forecasts frequently (and unfortunately) come true and the person who had experience working for government, to comment on the situation of increasing prices. In our opinion, the present situation shows that the economical problems in Kazakhstan are for the large part caused by the ineffective administering process. How and why does it happen?

Yaroslav Razumov

- Petr Vladimirovich, to which extent the government and in general state organs are responsible for the increase of inflation?
- Considering the present state structures it is extremely difficult to say which member of the Cabinet is responsible for prices. The Ministry of Finance is definitely not. The Ministry of Economics has never monitored this issue and no one from its leaders said something definite about it, although ideally it should not be the case. The Statistics Committee examines the level of prices but can not influence it. Traditionally only the National Bank was responsible for prices. The population, community and journalists used to address all questions about prices to the National Bank.
In the meantime, the National Bank is able to influence only the monetary factor and there are many more other important price factors.
The present uncontrollable increase in prices revealed the problems that were implicit for many years. The state and a number of experts affiliated with it were euphoric when in 1999 oil prices started to increase, resulting in increase of  the National Fund and the 10 %  GDP growth  rate. However, they didn’t consider seriously the simple fact that this economy was built on export of raw materials and import of absolutely all necessary goods.

- The monetary and non-monetary factors of inflation are sometimes a discussion topic among independent experts. Which factors prevail in our country?
- The inflation is a complex event and involves many factors - both monetary and non-monetary and the latter dominate.  However, this fact was ignored and the National Bank made the government and all of us think that only monetary factor causes the increase in prices. However, it is not the reality.
What do we have now? First, the infrastructure component of pricing in Kazakhstan is problematic.  The Kazakh transport, electricity and public utility industries, which influence every price, are in archaic condition, lack needed capacities and are catastrophically ineffective in everything. More specifically, they lack energy-efficient technologies. These industries as well as others, for example, road industry, require large investments not only to maintain the present capacities but also to enlarge them. Until now these industries were maintained using old Soviet reserve and as it came to its end the new investments are required.
These investments will result in higher utility, electricity and transport tariffs as well as in higher prices on everything else. And the government can not think of the prevention methods.
Moreover, there is no theoretical understanding of what parts of the investments and restoration costs could be included into infrastructure and utility natural monopolies’ tariffs. Also it is not clear how to obtain the money needed for the part of investments excluded from tariffs. For example, what money resources and on what terms should the government invest in infrastructure and public utility companies? And if there is private investor, what is the procedure of repayment? There are no answers to these questions. As there is no the required legislation. Thus it’s the description of the first non-monetary factor that caused the price growth.
Second, the domestic goods are quite expensive and hardly compete with the similar products from CIS countries even at the local market. Let

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